Mergers &
Acquisitions
Buying a Chinese
company is often the easiest and fastest way to penetrate the Chinese
market. Mergers & Acquisitions do
not only offer chances to
obtain valuable market shares, channels of distribution and customer
relationships, but also chances to diversify in new business areas.
Moreover, important relationships with relevant authorities can be
established. M&A therefore open up exceptionally growth
possibilities for Western companies in China.
Risks regarding
M&A in China
In China, Mergers
& Acquisitions also involve various and serious risks. The most
important risks are shown below.
| Economic
situation |
Low
efficiency and profitability. Often hidden debts and need of
recapitalization. Dependence of the company from national subsidies
that can be withdrawn at any time. |
| Ownership
structure |
Often
interlaced, unclear ownership structure and share ownership ratio
between companies, families, clans and persons. Unclear land usage
rights. |
| Economic
environment |
Massive
governmental interferences possible. Corruption, influence of guanxi.
Great regional distinctions. No adequate legal certainty. Shortage of
resources, water and energy. Imminent restrictions due to rigid
environmental laws. |
| Competitive
environment |
Often high
degree of competition, ruinous price competition, high market risks.
Existing or impending overcapacity. Import and export restrictions,
especially with regard to USA and Europe. Threats by piracy and
counterfeiting. |
| Finance |
No or low
equity, high debt ratio, not recoverable debts. Insufficient
medium-term financial planning. No financial diversifications,
therefore extreme dependence. No transparency due to lacking or
insufficient cost, revenue and liquidity planning. No status reports
and ad hoc coverage. |
| Management |
Lack of
professional and personal qualification of managers. No sustainable
strategy, but short-term orientation on single details. Unprofessional
management, acting on instinct. Ineffective internal control and
steering tools. Insufficient IT support. |
| Human
Resources |
Lack of
skilled employees and executive managers. Lack of experience of
employees, great staff turnovers. Loss of know-how. Increasing labor
costs in many areas, especially in the booming coastal regions.
Compulsion of employment of needless, unqualified or inefficient
personnel. |
| Goods and
services |
Approved
amount of business operations unclear. Often deficits in quality,
problems with utilizations, outdated production facilities and
technologies. Lack of product innovation, no R&D, inefficient
manufacturing process. Missing or faked certificates, no flexibility in
the case of market changes. Unprofitable because of too complex
business portfolios. Increasing risk of liability. |
| Sales and
Marketing |
Lack of a
marketing concept, little marketing competence, great dependence in
sales, logistic problems. |
Detailed
investigation of candidates
As relevant hard
facts of Chinese companies are usually not sufficiently available and
reliable, investors have to test the credit standing by investigating
the environment and the history of the company. That means that the
evaluation of companies in China is not primarily based on the
management, but on information from the company's environment gathered
from undercover investigation.
In China it is
common to analyse the biographies of firm owners, share holders and
managers within the scope of an investigative Due Diligence. During
this investigation information about bad management or penalties of the
company and its managers are gathered. Liabilities of the evaluated
company are detected from suppliers, sales partners, investors and
subsidiaries. A reconstruction of the company's history discloses the
possible economic power of the firm today. By using benchmarks of
competitors or companies of similar business fields or regions, the
validity of data can be checked. Against the background of their market
environment, many Chinese companies appear in a different light.
Evaluating the
future of the company, different scenarios and hypotheses are proposed
about the capabilities of the firm. Risk-related parameters are
impending shortages of power supply and resources, possible
restrictions due to tightened environmental laws, increasing labor
costs, price declines in the sales markets and the saturation of sales
markets. Based on this evaluation a reasonable purchase price can be
calculated. After the M&A contract is concluded, it will be
crucial to manage the transaction process skillfully.
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